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Will Magento survive the AI era?

Yes, in the segments where it’s strongest. Magento (Open Source + Adobe Commerce) will dominate enterprise B2B, multi-store, regulated industries, and EU-compliance-heavy commerce through 2030 and beyond. Where it bleeds is the SMB / DTC segment under $5M GMV, which Shopify already won and now cements with Sidekick + Hydrogen. Magento survives, but its addressable market shrinks: from “everyone” to “serious B2B + custom-heavy enterprise.” That’s still a multi-billion-dollar segment globally. The platform isn’t going anywhere; the merchants who choose it just look more specific.

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